Nasdaq Hits Record High on Tech Rally; Nvidia Corrects

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The landscape of the U.Sstock market was marked by a compelling divergence as the Dow Jones Industrial Average witnessed an unfortunate streak of eight consecutive declinesThe ongoing shifts have left many investors on edge, particularly as they await the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision and assess recently released economic indicatorsAs the day drew to a close, the numbers told a telling tale: the Dow fell by 110.58 points, settling at 43,717.48 points, while the Nasdaq soared by 1.24% to reach an impressive 20,173.89 pointsThe S&P 500 index followed suit, incrementally adding 0.38% to close at 6,074.08 points.

Providing insight into the economic climate, the latest data pointed towards a mixed outlookThe preliminary Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for December stood at 48.3, below expectations of 49.8, suggesting a contraction in manufacturing activity

Conversely, the Services PMI surprised analysts with a reading of 58.5, significantly outperforming the anticipated 55.7. An overall Composite PMI initial value of 56.6, against a forecast of 55.1, painted a picture of resilience in sectors related to services.

Chris Williamson, the Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, elaborated on these figures, noting that the services sector is currently exhibiting robust expansion, akin to a powerful engine propelling the overall economic growth towards its fastest pace in nearly three yearsHowever, the manufacturing sector starkly contrasts this positive narrative, showing signs of a sharp downturn, with production volumes decreasing at an accelerating rateOne critical factor contributing to this decline is undeniably weak export demand.

On a brighter note, market sentiment concerning the economic outlook for the upcoming year has surged to a two-and-a-half-year high, which undoubtedly serves as a shot in the arm for proponents of sustained economic growth in the New Year

Yet, it remains essential to acknowledge that the enthusiasm that had characterized the manufacturing sector following the elections has experienced a series of impediments, particularly due to concerns surrounding tariffs and the impact of rising costs of imported materials on inflation.

In the bond market, mid to long-term U.STreasury yields showed slight decreases closely linked to shifting interest rate expectationsThe two-year Treasury yield diminished by 0.2 basis points, settling at 4.243%, while the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell by 0.4 basis points to 4.393%. Market predictions from the CME FedWatch Tool indicate over a 97% probability that the Federal Reserve will lower rates by 25 basis points in their upcoming meeting.

However, a greater focus will rest on the Federal Reserve's projections for the coming months, particularly their latest “dot plot,” which outlines individual members’ anticipated future interest rate adjustments

Amid robust economic growth and persistent inflation, wagers on the speed of further rate cuts have tempered somewhatNotably, CFRA Research's Chief Investment Strategist, Sam Stovall, has commented, "The market might have been a bit oversold last weekThe likelihood of a rate cut is nearing 100%, but the outstanding question remains: what guidance will investors receive going forward?”

Stovall elaborated further, suggesting that investors could anticipate a hawkish tilt in the Federal Reserve’s rate cut narrativeThis may imply that while the Fed is indeed lowering rates, they will indicate an ongoing reliance on data, positioning future cuts more conservatively than some may hope.

Turning the spotlight to individual stocks, Broadcom's shares surged more than 11%, leading the Nasdaq, stimulated by the promising outlook for demand in custom chips driven by artificial intelligence technologies

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The company's valuation crossed the remarkable threshold of one trillion dollars following a substantial 25% rise the previous Friday.

In contrast, chip industry giant NVIDIA saw its stock drop by 1.7%, falling over 10% from its historic highs in mid-November, thus entering a correction phaseMeanwhile, Tesla gained 6.1% after Wedbush Securities lifted its target price for the company to $515. Other tech giants also experienced gains, including Google, which rose by 3.5%, Amazon adding 2.4%, Apple up by 1.2%, Microsoft increasing 1.0%, and Meta with a modest rise of 0.7%.

In a noteworthy development, Quantum ETFs rose over 7%, marking their largest increase since November 2022, with significant stock movements from D-Wave Quantum and Rigetti Computing, which rose by 43% and 32%, respectivelyGoogle announced major breakthroughs in quantum computing this month, with its latest quantum chip, Willow, achieving impressive benchmarks.

The cryptocurrency sector also saw reinvigoration as Bitcoin momentarily surpassed the $106,000 milestone following comments from President Trump regarding plans to establish a U.S

Bitcoin strategic reserve akin to the Strategic Petroleum ReserveCoinbase Global's stock climbed by 1.5%, while Bitcoin mining firm MARA Holdings surged by 8.1%.

Honeywell's stock performed well, rising by 3.7%, as the company disclosed plans to explore the divestiture of its aerospace segmentHowever, not all was rosy, as the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index experienced a decline of over 2%.

In the commodities market, international oil prices displayed a weakening trend amid investors' concerns surrounding demand prospectsWTI crude oil's near-term contracts dropped by 0.81%, settling at $70.71 per barrel, while Brent crude oil followed a similar pattern, falling 0.78% to $73.91 per barrel.

In contrast, international gold prices remained trapped in a narrow trading range, with investors biding time in anticipation of the Federal Reserve's decisionThe December COMEX gold futures contract dipped by 0.17%, reaching $2,651.40 per ounce.

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